And the Oscar goes to… Our Oscar predictions for 2013

Image courtesy of ABC

*winners are in bold*

Best Picture

Nominees:
“Amour”
“Argo”
“Beasts of the Southern Wild”
“Django Unchained”
“Les Miserables”
“Life of Pi”
“Lincoln”
“Silver Linings Playbook”

Staff Winner: Lincoln

My prediction: Argo

Based on the winnings at the Golden Globes, it would seem that “Argo,” winner for best picture in the drama category, and “Les Miserables,” winner of best picture in the comedy or musical category, would be the top two contenders. The competition for the Oscar, however, I think will come down to “Lincoln” versus “Argo.” In the end, though, I think that “Argo” will win, if for nothing more than the fact that Stephen Spielberg has not won an Oscar for best picture since “Schindler’s List” in 1993, despite being nominated five times, including this year’s nod for “Lincoln.”

Actor in a Leading Role

Nominees:
Bradley Cooper in “Silver Linings Playbook”
Daniel Day-Lewis in “Lincoln”
Denzel Washington in “Flight”
Hugh Jackman in “Les Miserables”
Joaquin Phoenix in “The Master”

Staff Winner: Daniel Day-Lewis

My prediction: Daniel Day-Lewis

Both the Screen Actor’s Guild and the Golden Globes agree: Daniel Day-Lewis took this category. At the Golden Globes, though, Hugh Jackman won the award for the best actor in the comedy or musical category. The last time an actor was nominated for best actor for a musical was in 2007 for Johnny Depp’s portrayal of Sweeney Todd, and the last time someone won best actor for a musical was Rex Harrison in 1964 for “My Fair Lady.” Ironically, in 2007, Depp lost to Day-Lewis for his role in “There Will Be Blood.” From what I can tell, Day-Lewis will shutout the musical nomination again to become the first actor to win three “Best Actor” Oscars.

Actress in a Leading Role

Nominees:
Emmanuelle Riva in “Amour”
Jennifer Lawrence in “Silver Linings Playbook”
Jessica Chastain in “Zero Dark Thirty”
Naomi Watts in “The Impossible”
Quvienzhane Wallis in “Beasts of the Southern Wild”

Staff Winner: Jennifer Lawrence

My prediction: Jennifer Lawrence

Most of the news staff, myself included, had not heard of a majority of these movies. Part of me gets that the appeal of the Oscars is to learn which movies are worth seeing after the fact, but I also like as a viewer to know which movie I’m rooting for. That said, I did not care for “Zero Dark Thirty.” I thought it dragged slower than the 10-year span it took to find Osama Bin Laden. However, I thought Jessica Chastain’s performance fit the anxiety a person would feel in the situation. Despite the high points of her performance, I think the Oscar will go to Jennifer Lawrence instead, because she was awarded at both the Golden Globes and at the Screen Actor’s Guild.

Actor in a Supporting Role

Nominees:
Alan Arkin in “Argo”
Christoph Waltz in “Django Unchained”
Philip Seymour Hoffman in “The Master”
Robert DeNiro in “Silver Linings Playbook”
Tommy Lee Jones in “Lincoln”

Staff Winner: Tie between Christoph Waltz and Tommy Lee Jones

My prediction: Tommy Lee Jones

I think it really will be a toss up between the two winners the staff at “The Metropolitan” picked. Christoph Waltz won the Golden Globe in this category, while Tommy Lee Jones won the Screen Actor’s Guild Award. I think that when it comes down to it though, the Academy Award will go to Tommy Lee Jones.

Actress in a Supporting Role

Nominees:
Amy Adams in “The Master”
Anne Hathaway in “Les Miserables”
Helen Hunt in “The Sessions”
Jacki Weaver in “Silver Linings Playbook”
Sally Field in “Lincoln”

Staff Winner: Anne Hathaway

My prediction: Anne Hathaway

Anne Hathaway was predicted, by just about everyone, to win this award the moment her name appeared in the credits. Hathaway has already won both the Screen Actor’s Guild Award and the Golden Globe in this category. I still get teary-eyed and have goose bumps pop up when I hear her sing “I Dreamed a Dream.” With a performance that striking, there is really very little room for competition. The only other contender I see in this category is Sally Field, but that’s a long shot at best.

Animated Feature Film

Nominees:
“Brave”
“Frankenweenie”
“ParaNorman”
“The Pirates! Band of Misfits”
“Wreck-It Ralph”

Staff Winner: “Brave”

My prediction: “Brave”

Disney still holds the torch in animated feature films, with not one, but three nominations with “Brave,” “Frankenweenie” and “Wreck-It Ralph.” Of the nominated trio I think the competition will be between “Brave” and “Wreck-It Ralph,” with the winner being the former. The movie was an absolute visual delight and quite the tearjerker as well.

Best Director

Nominees:
Ang Lee for “Life of Pi”
Benh Zeitlan for “Beasts of the Southern Wild”
David O. Russell for “Silver Linings Playbook”
Michael Haneke for “Amour”
Steven Spielberg for “Lincoln”

Staff Winner: Steven Spielberg

My prediction: Steven Spielberg

It is interesting that only three movies have won best picture without their director being nominated. This year, two unexpected hopefuls for best picture had their directors snubbed. Kathryn Bigelow win in 2009 for her film “The Hurt Locker, and made history as the only female director to win in this category. This year her film “Zero Dark Thirty” was nominated for best picture, but Bigelow wasn’t nominated for directing. Same with Ben Affleck — his film “Argo” was nominated for best picture, but he wasn’t nominated for best director. He did, however, win the Golden Globe in this category. With most of Stephen Spielberg’s competition taken away in those two hits, I think it will be much more likely for him to win, although both “Amour” and “Silver Linings Playbook” caused quite a stir in the movie world.

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Check out our post on other films, actors and directors that didn’t make the ballot.

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Kailyn Lamb

Kailyn Lamb

Kailyn Lamb has contributed to The Metropolitan as a features reporter since May 2012. She is majoring in convergence journalism and plans to graduate in 2013. Her dream job: writing or shooting photos for Rolling Stone.
Kailyn Lamb

Kailyn Lamb has contributed to The Metropolitan as a features reporter since May 2012. She is majoring in convergence journalism and plans to graduate in 2013. Her dream job: writing or shooting photos for Rolling Stone.

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